Sport Picks
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz 
Match Events
45'
45'
Alarcon F.
50'
50'
Zeineddin N.
63'
63'
Flores E.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Deportes Santa Cruz and Recoleta finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recoleta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Recoleta come out ahead of Deportes Santa Cruz on wins alone.
- Deportes Santa Cruz are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta
0:0
May 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta
0:0
Feb 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:2
Jul 31, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Santa Cruz 36 / 100
Recoleta 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Santa Cruz Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportes Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Recoleta let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Deportes Santa Cruz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Santa Cruz VS Recoleta
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Santa Cruz
(Home) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3 O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3 O Higgins
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1 U. Espanola
17 Aug
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 2 San Luis
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
18 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 1 Recoleta
08 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
