Sport Picks
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Felipe
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz 
Match Events
10'
10'
Garcia L.
26'
26'
Guajardo Barrera B.
34'
34'
Guajardo Barrera B.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Deportes Santa Cruz and San Felipe finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Felipe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportes Santa Cruz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Felipe have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Deportes Santa Cruz are scoring more at 1.25.
- Win probability leans Deportes Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Felipe
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Felipe
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Felipe
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportes Santa Cruz Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
San Felipe Compare
Top Goalscorer Guajardo Barrera B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Riveros B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Santa Cruz 42 / 100
San Felipe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Santa Cruz San Felipe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportes Santa Cruz scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: San Felipe conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Deportes Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Santa Cruz VS San Felipe
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Santa Cruz
(Home) 25 Jul
Cobreloa
4 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
11 Jul
Palestino
3 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
05 Jul
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 1 A. Italiano
27 Jun
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Palestino
19 Jun
A. Italiano
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 1 A. Italiano
27 Jun
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Palestino
01 Jun
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1 Copiapo
18 May
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 3 Deportes Temuco
02 May
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 2 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
San Felipe
(Away) 25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
04 Jul
San Felipe
1 : 1 Union La Calera
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0 San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2 San Felipe
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2 San Felipe
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0 San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2 San Felipe
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2 San Felipe
24 May
Deportes Temuco
5 : 0 San Felipe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31:18 | 29 |
| 3 | San Marcos de Arica | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:11 | 28 |
| 4 | San Luis | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:22 | 26 |
| 5 | D. Puerto Montt | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:18 | 26 |
| 6 | U. Espanola | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Antofagasta | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:19 | 23 |
| 9 | Copiapo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:23 | 23 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:26 | 22 |
| 11 | Magallanes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:26 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 16 |
| 14 | San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:29 | 16 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21:30 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:28 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
