Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos de Arica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Germán Becker, Temuco
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Temuco host San Marcos de Arica in the Liga de Ascenso. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Deportes Temuco have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against San Marcos de Arica's 1.14 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportes Temuco slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.19) point toward Deportes Temuco. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Deportes Temuco
30%
Draws
33%
San Marcos de Arica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportes Temuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • San Marcos de Arica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Deportes Temuco a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Deportes Temuco Clean Sheet 68%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Temuco San Marcos de Arica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Temuco
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Temuco
0:0
Mar 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos de Arica
1:3
Jul 13, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs San Marcos de Arica
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Temuco
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Temuco 59 / 100
San Marcos de Arica 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Temuco San Marcos de Arica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Temuco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Temuco's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Marcos de Arica let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Deportes Temuco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Temuco VS San Marcos de Arica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Temuco

(Home)
18 Oct
San Felipe
2 : 2
Deportes Temuco
10 Oct
Deportes Temuco
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Cobreloa
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0
S. Wanderers
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San Marcos de Arica

(Away)
18 Oct
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
11 Oct
Antofagasta
3 : 0
San Marcos de Arica
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Luis 28 15 8 5 43:29 53
2 Cobreloa 28 14 9 5 51:30 51
3 S. Wanderers 28 13 8 7 46:31 47
4 Magallanes 28 13 7 8 44:40 46
5 Antofagasta 28 12 9 7 47:26 45
6 Recoleta 28 11 8 9 40:42 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 28 10 10 8 33:27 40
8 Copiapo 28 11 7 10 42:41 40
9 U. Espanola 28 11 6 11 33:35 39
10 Deportes Temuco 28 9 9 10 44:39 36
11 Deportes Iquique 28 8 11 9 38:32 35
12 D. Puerto Montt 28 10 5 13 26:35 35
13 Curico Unido 28 7 10 11 26:42 28
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 28 4 11 13 28:42 23
15 San Felipe 28 5 8 15 18:50 23
16 Rangers 28 5 6 17 28:46 21
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)