Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs America De Cali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
Match Events
21'
21'
Quintero Y.
22'
22'
Aguayo S.
(Penalty)
26'
26'
Guzman Y.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and America De Cali finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America De Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- America De Cali carry the better recent record into this one.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on America De Cali taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 15%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | America De Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs America De Cali
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Primera A
America De Cali vs Deportes Tolima
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Jun 12, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Deportes Tolima
1:3
Jun 7, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs America De Cali
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportes Tolima Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
America De Cali Compare
Top Goalscorer Guzman Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Tolima 27 / 100
America De Cali 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Tolima America De Cali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick America De Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Deportes Tolima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: America De Cali conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Tolima VS America De Cali
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home) 03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 3
America De Cali
(Away) 05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2 America De Cali
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1 Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2 America De Cali
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
29 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 America De Cali
22 Aug
Santa Fe
0 : 0 America De Cali
06 Aug
Once Caldas
0 : 1 America De Cali
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
