Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
Match Events
3'
3'
Flores L.
21'
21'
Ortiz J.
46'
46'
Sub
Flores L. In: Castro F.
Out: Flores L.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bucaramanga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Deportes Tolima carry the better recent record into this one.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Bucaramanga taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 16%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga
0:0
Feb 11, 2026 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima
0:0
Dec 4, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Tolima 23 / 100
Bucaramanga 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Tolima Bucaramanga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bucaramanga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Bucaramanga has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Deportes Tolima stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 0.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Tolima VS Bucaramanga
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 3
Bucaramanga
(Away) 04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2 Ind. Medellin
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1 Bucaramanga
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
09 Aug
Alianza
2 : 3 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
