Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Pasto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
AI Match Summary
Deportes Tolima host Dep. Pasto in the Primera A. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Dep. Pasto have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Deportes Tolima have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.29. Past meetings favor Deportes Tolima slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 0.81) back Deportes Tolima to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dep. Pasto haven't matched Deportes Tolima's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Dep. Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 69% of their last 35 outings.
Defensive concern: Dep. Pasto conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Deportes Tolima went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home)Dep. Pasto
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:9 | 29 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 22:12 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Dep. Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:22 | 9 |
