Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Pereira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
Match Events
2'
2'
Parra Osorio A.
46'
46'
Sub
Valencia E. In: Mosquera J.
Out: Valencia E.
49'
49'
Rovira B.
Assist: Guzman S.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and Dep. Pereira finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportes Tolima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportes Tolima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Dep. Pereira haven't matched Deportes Tolima's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Tolima taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Dep. Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Pereira
2:0
Jul 25, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Pereira
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
0:0
Oct 8, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Pereira
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportes Tolima Compare
Top Goalscorer Parra Osorio A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rovira B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Dep. Pereira Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Tolima 58 / 100
Dep. Pereira 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Tolima Dep. Pereira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportes Tolima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Dep. Pereira has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Deportes Tolima went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Dep. Pereira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Tolima VS Dep. Pereira
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Pereira
(Away) 04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0 Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2 Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0 Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0 Dep. Pereira
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1 Dep. Pereira
31 Aug
Dep. Pasto
1 : 2 Dep. Pereira
22 Aug
Alianza
0 : 0 Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)
