Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Ind. Medellin
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
AI Match Summary
Deportes Tolima host Ind. Medellin in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ind. Medellin have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Deportes Tolima have conceded 1.13 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Ind. Medellin slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Ind. Medellin to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ind. Medellin's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Deportes Tolima have produced (1).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Ind. Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Deportes Tolima's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Ind. Medellin has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Deportes Tolima remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home)Ind. Medellin
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Once Caldas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Dep. Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aguilas Doradas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Atl. Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Dep. Pereira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Inter Bogotá | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cucuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
