Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Cordoba

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Moreno Y.
14'
Rovira B.
20' Event
Sandoval L.
Assist: Torres Patino J. P.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and Jaguares de Cordoba finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportes Tolima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Deportes Tolima
28%
Draws
50%
Jaguares de Cordoba
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jaguares de Cordoba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Deportes Tolima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Jaguares de Cordoba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportes Tolima have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Tolima Jaguares de Cordoba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Cordoba
3:1
Aug 19, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Deportes Tolima
0:2
Feb 15, 2024 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Cordoba
2:0
Oct 6, 2023 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Apr 26, 2023 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Tolima Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valencia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jaguares de Cordoba Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Tolima 24 / 100
Jaguares de Cordoba 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Tolima Jaguares de Cordoba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Tolima's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jaguares de Cordoba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Deportes Tolima has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Tolima VS Jaguares de Cordoba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210