Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
AI Match Summary
Deportes Tolima host Millonarios in the Primera A. This one's hard to separate. Millonarios have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Deportes Tolima have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Millonarios slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.50, favoring Millonarios. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Deportes Tolima lately — more wins on the board than Millonarios.
- Win probability leans Millonarios's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportes Tolima found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).
Millonarios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Deportes Tolima stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home)Millonarios
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alianza | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Dep. Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | 12 |
