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Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
2 - 1
09:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
23' Event
Jove I.
40' Event
Kouassi B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Deportiva Minera host Castellonense in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Deportiva Minera have averaged 1.27 scored and 0.7 conceded recently, against Castellonense's 1.5 scored and 0.86 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.81, favoring Deportiva Minera. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Deportiva Minera
20%
Draws
48%
Castellonense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportiva Minera come out ahead of Castellonense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Deportiva Minera Clean Sheet 26%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportiva Minera Castellonense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportiva Minera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jove I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Minera 33 / 100
Castellonense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportiva Minera Castellonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellonense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportiva Minera scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Deportiva Minera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Castellonense conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Castellonense's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportiva Minera VS Castellonense
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportiva Minera

(Home)
04 Oct
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
La Nucia
27 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
Deportiva Minera
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

Castellonense

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Ilicitano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
12 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
13 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
14 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
15 Valencia B 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)