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Deportiva Minera vs Xerez Deportivo FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Holgado S.
31' Event
Fernandez Martin J. C.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Parejo Gonzalez R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Deportiva Minera and Xerez Deportivo FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportiva Minera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Deportiva Minera
6%
Draws
4%
Xerez Deportivo FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportiva Minera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportiva Minera come out ahead of Xerez Deportivo FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Deportiva Minera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Deportiva Minera here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Deportiva Minera Clean Sheet 68%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportiva Minera Xerez Deportivo FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Deportiva Minera vs Xerez Deportivo FC
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Deportiva Minera
1:3
Apr 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Deportiva Minera vs Xerez Deportivo FC
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Deportiva Minera
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportiva Minera Compare

Top Goalscorer Holgado S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Minera 95 / 100
Xerez Deportivo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportiva Minera Xerez Deportivo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Deportiva Minera scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Xerez Deportivo FC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Deportiva Minera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportiva Minera VS Xerez Deportivo FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621