Sport Picks

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Deportiva Venados vs Alacranes de Durango

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Aquino E.
24' Event
Diaz N.
45' Event
Castaneda F.

AI Match Summary

Deportiva Venados in this Liga Premier Serie A tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Deportiva Venados
22%
Draws
18%
Alacranes de Durango
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportiva Venados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Alacranes de Durango have won more games recently than Deportiva Venados.
  • Deportiva Venados are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Alacranes de Durango arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportiva Venados, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 68%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportiva Venados Alacranes de Durango
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 22
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Deportiva Venados
0:0
May 6, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Alacranes de Durango
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportiva Venados Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castaneda F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Alacranes de Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Venados 68 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportiva Venados Alacranes de Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportiva Venados's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Deportiva Venados stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Alacranes de Durango's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportiva Venados VS Alacranes de Durango
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportiva Venados

(Home)
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0
Deportiva Venados
06 May
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
03 May
Apodaca
2 : 4
Deportiva Venados
30 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 1
Apodaca
25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

Alacranes de Durango

(Away)
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0
Deportiva Venados
06 May
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz-
TBD-
Tigres de Alica2
Halcones de Zapopan3
Alacranes de Durango-
TBD-
FC Santiago3
Zacatepec4
Deportiva Venados3
Calor De San Pedro1
Tapachula1
Tritones Vallarta2
Apodaca-
TBD-
Tecos0
Inter Playa Del Carmen2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz0
Halcones de Zapopan2
Alacranes de Durango3
Zacatepec3
Deportiva Venados2
Tritones Vallarta1
Apodaca3
Inter Playa Del Carmen1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan1
Alacranes de Durango2
Deportiva Venados5
Apodaca3
Final
Alacranes de Durango1
Deportiva Venados2