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Deportiva Venados vs Alacranes de Durango

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Aquino E.
24' Event
Diaz N.
45' Event
Castaneda F.

AI Match Summary

Deportiva Venados in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportiva Venados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Deportiva Venados
22%
Draws
18%
Alacranes de Durango
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportiva Venados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Alacranes de Durango average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Deportiva Venados's 1.88.
  • Deportiva Venados are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 68%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportiva Venados Alacranes de Durango
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Deportiva Venados
0:0
May 6, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Alacranes de Durango
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportiva Venados Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castaneda F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Alacranes de Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Venados 68 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportiva Venados Alacranes de Durango

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportiva Venados's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Deportiva Venados went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Alacranes de Durango conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Deportiva Venados VS Alacranes de Durango
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz-
TBD-
Tigres de Alica2
Halcones de Zapopan3
Alacranes de Durango-
TBD-
FC Santiago3
Zacatepec4
Deportiva Venados3
Calor De San Pedro1
Tapachula1
Tritones Vallarta2
Apodaca-
TBD-
Tecos0
Inter Playa Del Carmen2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz0
Halcones de Zapopan2
Alacranes de Durango3
Zacatepec3
Deportiva Venados2
Tritones Vallarta1
Apodaca3
Inter Playa Del Carmen1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan1
Alacranes de Durango2
Deportiva Venados5
Apodaca3
Final
Alacranes de Durango1
Deportiva Venados2