Sport Picks
Deportivo Achuapa vs Antigua Prediction & H2H Stats
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Winston Pineda, Jutiapa 
Match Events
25'
25'
Acosta D.
25'
25'
Castrillo C.
40'
40'
Santis D.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Deportivo Achuapa and Antigua finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
- Deportivo Achuapa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 13%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Achuapa | Antigua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Antigua
2:2
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Deportivo Achuapa
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Deportivo Achuapa
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Antigua
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Deportivo Achuapa
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Achuapa Compare
Top Goalscorer Matta A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Antigua Compare
Top Goalscorer Santis D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carbonell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Achuapa 35 / 100
Antigua 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Achuapa Antigua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportivo Achuapa scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Antigua conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Antigua has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Achuapa VS Antigua
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Achuapa
(Home) 26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2 Antigua
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1 Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Xelaju
3 : 0 Deportivo Achuapa
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0 Malacateco
07 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 1 Deportivo Achuapa
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2 Antigua
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0 Malacateco
02 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 2 Municipal
21 Mar
Deportivo Achuapa
0 : 2 Mictlan
15 Mar
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 2 Marquense
Page 1 of 4
Antigua
(Away) 03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1 Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1 Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2 Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2 Antigua
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1 Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1 Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2 Antigua
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3 Antigua
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
