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Deportivo Aleman vs Oruro Royal

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Oruro Royal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Deportivo Aleman
17%
Draws
70%
Oruro Royal
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Oruro Royal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oruro Royal come out ahead of Deportivo Aleman on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Oruro Royal's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Oruro Royal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Oruro Royal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Deportivo Aleman Clean Sheet 10%
Oruro Royal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Aleman Oruro Royal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.75 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Oruro Royal vs Deportivo Aleman
5:1
Oct 6, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Oruro Royal
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Aleman 14 / 100
Oruro Royal 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Aleman Oruro Royal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oruro Royal let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Aleman's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Deportivo Aleman has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Aleman VS Oruro Royal
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Aleman

(Home)
03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3
Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
15 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 0
Alianza Beni
08 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

Oruro Royal

(Away)
10 Nov
Alianza Beni
5 : 0
Oruro Royal
07 Nov
Oruro Royal
3 : 1
Alianza Beni
03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3
Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Rio San Juan
2 : 3
Oruro Royal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Real Oruro2
Tiquipaya1
3 de Febrero2
CDN Santa Cruz7
Petrolero de Yacuiba10
Amanecer1
Fatic2
Universitario de Sucre6
Stormers SC1
Academia del Balompie12
Wilstermann Cooperativas3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Deportivo Aleman1
Oruro Royal8
Real Potosi3
Alianza Beni4
Quarter-finals
Real Oruro4
CDN Santa Cruz2
Petrolero de Yacuiba5
Universitario de Sucre6
Academia del Balompie4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz2
Oruro Royal3
Alianza Beni6
Semi-finals
Real Oruro4
Universitario de Sucre3
Academia del Balompie9
Alianza Beni3
Final
Real Oruro2
Academia del Balompie3