Sport Picks
Deportivo Armenio vs Dep. Merlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Armenia Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
6'
6'
Busto J.
17'
17'
Figueredo L.
41'
41'
Pellegrino L.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Deportivo Armenio and Dep. Merlo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Armenio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Armenio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Armenio come out ahead of Dep. Merlo on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Armenio taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Deportivo Armenio Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Armenio | Dep. Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Primera B
Deportivo Armenio vs Dep. Merlo
1:0
May 16, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio
3:2
Jun 28, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Primera B
Deportivo Armenio vs Dep. Merlo
3:0
Jun 29, 2024 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Armenio Compare
Top Goalscorer Pellegrino L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Dep. Merlo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Armenio 86 / 100
Dep. Merlo 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Armenio Dep. Merlo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Armenio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Deportivo Armenio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Deportivo Armenio found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Dep. Merlo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Armenio VS Dep. Merlo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Armenio
(Home) 10 Oct
Deportivo Armenio
0 : 0 Comunicaciones
03 Oct
Dock Sud
0 : 3 Deportivo Armenio
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
19 Sept
Deportivo Camioneros
1 : 2 Deportivo Armenio
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Deportivo Armenio
0 : 0 Comunicaciones
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
30 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Villa San Carlos
22 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
0 : 1 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 4
Dep. Merlo
(Away) 10 Oct
Laferrere
1 : 1 Dep. Merlo
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1 Flandria
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Laferrere
1 : 1 Dep. Merlo
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
31 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
22 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 0 Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 63:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 53:26 | 72 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 41:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 39:24 | 65 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 44:30 | 64 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 39:34 | 56 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 40:44 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 37:43 | 47 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 37:52 | 45 |
| 15 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 39 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 32:39 | 44 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 32:40 | 44 |
| 18 | Flandria | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 35:48 | 42 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 39 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 33:40 | 41 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 39 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 27:64 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
