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Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Figueredo J.
45' Event
Galeano L.
72'
Benitez M.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Deportivo Capiata and Fernando de la Mora finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Capiata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Deportivo Capiata
30%
Draws
34%
Fernando de la Mora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Capiata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Capiata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Capiata taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 68%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Capiata Fernando de la Mora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 13 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata
0:0
Oct 2, 2021 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
1:0
Jun 22, 2021 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Capiata Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueredo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Capiata 46 / 100
Fernando de la Mora 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Capiata Fernando de la Mora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Capiata's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fernando de la Mora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Capiata stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Capiata VS Fernando de la Mora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Capiata

(Home)
20 Jul
Tacuary
0 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
13 Jul
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 3
Atletico Tembetary
06 Jul
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
06 Jun
12 de Junio
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
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Fernando de la Mora

(Away)
20 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 3
Fernando de la Mora
10 Jul
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 2
Paraguari AC
03 Jul
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 2
3 de Noviembre
27 Jun
General Caballero JLM
2 : 3
Fernando de la Mora
06 Jun
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 3
Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio15103222:1133
2Benjamin Aceval1594226:1331
3General Caballero JLM1583430:2127
4Deportivo Santani1573520:1424
5Sol de America1558218:1323
6Atletico Tembetary1564524:2122
7Deportivo Capiata1557321:1822
8Guairena FC1563617:1921
9Independiente FBC1555523:2220
10Sportivo Carapegua1554618:2719
11Resistencia1546516:2018
12Fernando de la Mora1553718:2418
13Tacuary1528519:2314
14Paraguari AC1534815:2013
15Encarnacion FC15321015:2311
163 de Noviembre1507813:267
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)