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Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Quintana J.
45' Event
Lezcano H.
90' Event
Dramane D.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Deportivo Capiata and Fernando de la Mora finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Capiata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Deportivo Capiata
39%
Draws
31%
Fernando de la Mora
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Capiata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 20%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Capiata Fernando de la Mora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 13 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata
0:0
Oct 2, 2021 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
1:0
Jun 22, 2021 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Capiata Compare

Top Goalscorer Lezcano H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dramane D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintana J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Capiata 31 / 100
Fernando de la Mora 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Capiata Fernando de la Mora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Capiata scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Fernando de la Mora conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Deportivo Capiata has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Capiata VS Fernando de la Mora
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Capiata

(Home)
20 Jul
Tacuary
0 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
13 Jul
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 3
Atletico Tembetary
06 Jul
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
06 Jun
12 de Junio
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
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Fernando de la Mora

(Away)
20 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 3
Fernando de la Mora
10 Jul
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 2
Paraguari AC
03 Jul
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 2
3 de Noviembre
27 Jun
General Caballero JLM
2 : 3
Fernando de la Mora
06 Jun
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 3
Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)