Sport Picks
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 
Match Events
22'
22'
Escurra J.
26'
26'
Bareiro A.
42'
42'
Quintana J.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Capiata in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Capiata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Deportivo Capiata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Deportivo Capiata have won more games recently than Sportivo Carapegua.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Capiata taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Capiata | Sportivo Carapegua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
5:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Capiata
2:2
Jun 30, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Nov 3, 2013 Copa de Primera
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:1
Aug 21, 2013 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Capiata
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Capiata Compare
Top Goalscorer Escurra J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bareiro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sportivo Carapegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Quintana J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Acosta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Capiata 76 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Capiata Sportivo Carapegua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CDC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Carapegua let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Deportivo Capiata scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Deportivo Capiata remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Capiata VS Sportivo Carapegua
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Capiata
(Home) 20 Jul
Tacuary
0 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
13 Jul
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 3 Atletico Tembetary
06 Jul
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
06 Jun
12 de Junio
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 3 Atletico Tembetary
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
31 May
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
19 May
Deportivo Capiata
2 : 1 Fernando de la Mora
10 May
Deportivo Capiata
2 : 1 General Caballero JLM
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Sportivo Carapegua
(Away) 26 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2 General Caballero JLM
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1 Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
31 May
Tacuary
2 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
21 May
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 0 Sportivo Carapegua
17 May
Paraguari AC
1 : 0 Sportivo Carapegua
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 de Junio | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Benjamin Aceval | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:13 | 31 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 30:21 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santani | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Tembetary | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 22 |
| 7 | Deportivo Capiata | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 8 | Guairena FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Independiente FBC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23:22 | 20 |
| 10 | Sportivo Carapegua | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:27 | 19 |
| 11 | Resistencia | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:23 | 11 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 13:26 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
