Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010

Lalin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Fabril play Lalin in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Fabril averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. Lalin averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Fabril won 3, Lalin won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2012 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Deportivo Fabril and 0.94 for Lalin. This points to a Deportivo Fabril double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Deportivo Fabril

17%

Draws

28%

Lalin

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Deportivo Fabril picked up more points recently compared to Lalin.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 24%

Lalin Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Fabril	Lalin
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	17	9
Draws	9	6
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.59	0.93
Goals Conceded	0.66	1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo Fabril vs Lalin

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Dec 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Lalin vs Deportivo Fabril

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Apr 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo Fabril vs Lalin

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Nov 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Lalin vs Deportivo Fabril

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Fabril 54 / 100

Lalin 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Fabril Lalin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Fabril Win (1)

Secondary Pick Deportivo Fabril & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Fabril attacking → ← attacking Lalin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Fabril scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Lalin let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Deportivo Fabril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lalin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 33

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	36	26	4	6	65:33	82
2	Cerceda	36	21	7	8	52:29	70
3	CD Ourense	36	19	11	6	70:34	68
4	Coruxo FC	36	17	13	6	54:32	64
5	Naron	36	18	5	13	49:45	59
6	Alondras	36	14	12	10	48:38	54
7	SD Ordenes	36	15	8	13	46:43	53
8	SD Negreira	36	14	9	13	41:37	51
9	Racing Club Villalbes	36	12	12	12	36:37	48
10	Rapido de Bouzas	36	12	11	13	37:35	47
11	Santa Comba	36	13	7	16	44:48	46
12	Villalonga	36	11	11	14	36:39	44
13	CD Cultural Areas	36	11	11	14	34:50	44
14	Bergantinos	36	11	9	16	30:49	42
15	Pontevedra B	36	11	7	18	44:47	40
16	Somozas	36	11	6	19	40:56	39
17	Lalin	36	9	11	16	38:51	38
18	Celtiga	36	8	12	16	37:45	36
19	Verin CF	36	3	6	27	26:79	15