Sport Picks

Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Deportivo Garcilaso

4 - 1

Binacional

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Mendoza J.

13'

Olivares C.

31'

Santa Maria J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Garcilaso in this Copa de la Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Garcilaso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Deportivo Garcilaso

Draws

Binacional

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Deportivo Garcilaso have won more games recently than Binacional.
Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de la Liga fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Deportivo Garcilaso have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 20%

Binacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Garcilaso	Binacional
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	10	5
Draws	7	9
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	0.5	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Copa de la Liga

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Binacional

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Apr 26, 2025 Liga 1

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Binacional

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Jul 10, 2023 Liga 1

Binacional vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

1:5

Feb 5, 2023 Liga 1

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Binacional

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Garcilaso Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivares C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Mendoza J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Binacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Santa Maria J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Garcilaso 85 / 100

Binacional 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Garcilaso Binacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 4:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Garcilaso found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Binacional let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Away concern: Binacional has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Garcilaso VS Binacional

1.38 Goals Scored 1

0.5 Goals Conceded 2.38

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Atl.	3	3	0	0	5:1	9
2	Carlos Mannucci	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	A. Lima	3	0	1	2	2:5	1
4	Cesar Vallejo	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ADA Jaen	2	1	1	0	2:0	4
2	Juan Pablo II	2	0	2	0	0:0	2
3	Comerciantes Unidos	2	0	1	1	0:2	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cajamarca	2	1	1	0	5:3	4
2	Llacuabamba	2	0	2	0	3:3	2
3	FC Cajamarca	2	0	1	1	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Grau	2	1	1	0	4:3	4
2	Pirata	2	1	0	1	4:3	3
3	Universitario de Deportes	2	0	1	1	1:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Huancayo	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	AD Tarma	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
3	Alianza Huanuco	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Union Minas	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cienciano	3	3	0	0	6:2	9
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Binacional	3	1	0	2	5:9	3
4	Cusco	3	0	1	2	4:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Los Chankas	2	2	0	4:0	6
2	Santos FC	2	1	1	2:4	3
3	Ayacucho	2	0	2	1:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moquegua	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
2	Tacna Heroica	2	1	0	1	5:5	3
3	FBC Melgar	2	0	1	1	2:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Boys	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	AD Cantolao	2	1	0	1	4:6	3
3	U. San Martin	2	0	1	1	5:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Cristal	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	Comerciantes FC	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Union Comercio	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Estudiantil CNI	3	0	1	2	2:5	1