Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Garcilaso host Comerciantes Unidos in the Liga 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Deportivo Garcilaso have averaged 1.62 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Comerciantes Unidos's 1.32 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Comerciantes Unidos slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.50, favoring Deportivo Garcilaso. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Comerciantes Unidos haven't matched Deportivo Garcilaso's recent run of results.
- Model gives Deportivo Garcilaso a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes Unidos let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Deportivo Garcilaso's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Comerciantes Unidos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home)Comerciantes Unidos
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | A. Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | AD Tarma | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | 5 |
