Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Garcilaso host FC Cajamarca in the Liga 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Deportivo Garcilaso at 1.38 goals for, 0.5 against; FC Cajamarca at 1.75 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Deportivo Garcilaso have won 0 to FC Cajamarca's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.13) back Deportivo Garcilaso to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Deportivo Garcilaso
33%
Draws
27%
FC Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Garcilaso lately — more wins on the board than FC Cajamarca.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Garcilaso taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Garcilaso FC Cajamarca
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Liga 1
FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Garcilaso 50 / 100
FC Cajamarca 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Garcilaso FC Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Deportivo Garcilaso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Garcilaso VS FC Cajamarca
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Home)
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Binacional
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 0
Cusco
Page 1 of 6

FC Cajamarca

(Away)
17 Jul
FC Cajamarca
2 : 2
Juan Pablo II
26 Jun
Cajamarca
3 : 1
FC Cajamarca
20 Jun
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
Llacuabamba
31 May
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
A. Lima
24 May
Alianza Atl.
1 : 1
FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cusco11004:13
2FBC Melgar11003:13
3Atletico Grau11003:13
4A. Lima11002:13
5Universitario de Deportes11002:13
6Sporting Cristal11001:03
7Los Chankas11001:03
8Comerciantes Unidos10102:21
9Moquegua10102:21
10Juan Pablo II10102:21
11FC Cajamarca10102:21
12Sport Huancayo10011:20
13AD Tarma10011:20
14Sport Boys10010:10
15Deportivo Garcilaso10010:10
16Cienciano10011:30
17Cajamarca10011:30
18Alianza Atl.10011:40
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)