Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
7'
7'
Olivares C.
Assist: Sandoval K.
14'
14'
Arancibia F.
Assist: Olivares C.
20'
20'
Sub
Torrejon C. In: Gonzalez A.
Out: Torrejon C.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Garcilaso in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Deportivo Garcilaso lately — more wins on the board than FC Cajamarca.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Garcilaso taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca
2:1
Feb 9, 2026 Liga 1
FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Top Goalscorer Olivares C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arancibia F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
FC Cajamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Rasmussen M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Garcilaso 85 / 100
FC Cajamarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Garcilaso FC Cajamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cajamarca has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.
Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: Deportivo Garcilaso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Garcilaso VS FC Cajamarca
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home) 10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 3
FC Cajamarca
(Away) 10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0 FC Cajamarca
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2 Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5 Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0 FC Cajamarca
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
09 Aug
FBC Melgar
2 : 4 FC Cajamarca
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl. | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:18 | 22 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Universitario de Deportes | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11:25 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
