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Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Salcedo R.
32' Event
Porozo D.
Assist: Valoyes J.
36'
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

Sport Huancayo in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Huancayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Deportivo Garcilaso
15%
Draws
42%
Sport Huancayo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Garcilaso have won more games recently than Sport Huancayo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Garcilaso Sport Huancayo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:3
Jul 19, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Garcilaso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sport Huancayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Porozo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Garcilaso 31 / 100
Sport Huancayo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Garcilaso Sport Huancayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Huancayo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Deportivo Garcilaso's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Deportivo Garcilaso remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Garcilaso VS Sport Huancayo
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Home)
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
Page 1 of 6

Sport Huancayo

(Away)
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2
Cajamarca
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3
Sport Huancayo
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)