Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
6'
6'
Salazar A.
Assist: Sandoval K.
10'
10'
Sandoval K.
18'
18'
Murrugarra J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Deportivo Garcilaso and Universitario de Deportes finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Universitario de Deportes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Deportivo Garcilaso carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Garcilaso taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes
4:0
Apr 23, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
Jul 6, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Garcilaso
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Top Goalscorer Salazar A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandoval K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Garcilaso 59 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Garcilaso Universitario de Deportes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Garcilaso's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Universitario de Deportes has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Deportivo Garcilaso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Garcilaso VS Universitario de Deportes
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home) 10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 3
Universitario de Deportes
(Away) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
16 Aug
FC Cajamarca
2 : 3 Universitario de Deportes
02 Aug
Cienciano
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
