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Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Londono F.
27'
Marquez M.
29'
Martinez L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Deportivo La Guaira and Caracas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Deportivo La Guaira
40%
Draws
29%
Caracas
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo La Guaira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo La Guaira have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 20%
Caracas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Caracas
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 9 6
Draws 14 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas
1:0
Aug 20, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Caracas vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Jul 23, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:3
Mar 7, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Londono F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Caracas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 32 / 100
Caracas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Caracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo La Guaira's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Caracas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Deportivo La Guaira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Caracas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
31 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
23 May
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Deportivo La Guaira
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
15 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 0
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6

Caracas

(Away)
24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Caracas
24 Jun
Caracas
1 : 1
Aragua
27 May
Caracas
1 : 3
Botafogo RJ
22 May
Racing Club
2 : 2
Caracas
05 May
Independiente
2 : 3
Caracas
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)