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Deportivo La Guaira vs Dep. Tachira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pollero R.
Assist: Sosa C.
22' Event
Sosa C.
Assist: Woiski A.
35' Event
Castellanos J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Deportivo La Guaira and Dep. Tachira finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Tachira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Deportivo La Guaira
20%
Draws
57%
Dep. Tachira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Tachira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Tachira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dep. Tachira are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 14%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Dep. Tachira
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Dep. Tachira
2:4
Apr 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Dep. Tachira
3:1
Mar 22, 2025 Super Cup
Dep. Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Londono F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dep. Tachira Compare

Top Goalscorer Pollero R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sosa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 15 / 100
Dep. Tachira 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Dep. Tachira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Tachira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo La Guaira scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Dep. Tachira conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Deportivo La Guaira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Dep. Tachira
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
03 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
1 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 7

Dep. Tachira

(Away)
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
02 Sept
Zamora
2 : 5
Dep. Tachira
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 12 8 2 2 28:15 26
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 12 4 6 2 14:12 18
6 Deportivo La Guaira 12 5 2 5 21:16 17
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)