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Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Hernandez N.
23' Event
Miku
(Penalty)
40'
Ayine G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Deportivo La Guaira
20%
Draws
57%
Metropolitanos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metropolitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metropolitanos lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo La Guaira.
  • Deportivo La Guaira are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 11%
Metropolitanos Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Metropolitanos
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos
4:1
Aug 27, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Metropolitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 35 / 100
Metropolitanos 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Metropolitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Deportivo La Guaira's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Metropolitanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Deportivo La Guaira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Metropolitanos
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0
Aragua
17 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Trujillanos
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6

Metropolitanos

(Away)
22 Oct
Metropolitanos
1 : 2
Academia Anzoategui
18 Oct
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
10 Oct
Metropolitanos
4 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Deportivo La Guaira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Metropolitanos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Portuguesa 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Academia Puerto Cabello 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Caracas 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Monagas 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)