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Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Romero C. In: Gonzalez M.
Out: Romero C.
18'
Sub
Castellanos J. In: Caceres F.
Out: Castellanos J.
37'
Caceres F.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo La Guaira in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Deportivo La Guaira
39%
Draws
30%
Rayo Zuliano
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo La Guaira have won more games recently than Rayo Zuliano.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Deportivo La Guaira have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Zuliano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Rayo Zuliano
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 14 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano
1:0
Jul 18, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano
4:0
Feb 8, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Oct 11, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano
3:2
Jul 14, 2024 Copa Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Rayo Zuliano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 32 / 100
Rayo Zuliano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Rayo Zuliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rayo Zuliano conceded in 88% of 25 recent games.

Deportivo La Guaira found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Rayo Zuliano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Rayo Zuliano
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)
31 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
23 May
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Deportivo La Guaira
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
15 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 0
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 7

Rayo Zuliano

(Away)
24 Jun
Rayo Zuliano
0 : 0
Trujillanos
25 Apr
Caracas
2 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
18 Apr
Rayo Zuliano
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
11 Apr
Monagas
3 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
04 Apr
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 1
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)