Sport Picks
Deportivo La Guaira vs Universidad Central - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas 
Match Events
19'
19'
Ortiz G.
21'
21'
De Sousa D.
39'
39'
Velasquez W.
AI Match Summary
The Liga FUTVE game between Deportivo La Guaira and Universidad Central finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universidad Central.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Universidad Central
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Deportivo La Guaira have managed 1.29 goals a game lately — Universidad Central are scoring more at 1.36.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 20%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo La Guaira | Universidad Central |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Universidad Central
0:2
May 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Universidad Central
0:0
May 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Universidad Central
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo La Guaira Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Universidad Central Compare
Top Goalscorer De Sousa D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lugo W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo La Guaira 32 / 100
Universidad Central 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo La Guaira Universidad Central
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Universidad Central conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Deportivo La Guaira scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Deportivo La Guaira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo La Guaira VS Universidad Central
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo La Guaira
(Home) 20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4 Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
03 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
1 : 1 Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4 Dep. Tachira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
30 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
16 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
6 : 1 Zamora
Page 1 of 3
Universidad Central
(Away) 19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
15 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0 Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
22 Aug
Zamora
2 : 0 Universidad Central
09 Aug
Metropolitanos
2 : 1 Universidad Central
01 Aug
Trujillanos
2 : 0 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 23 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Universidad Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:23 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)
