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Stadium Background

Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Quiroga S. In: Castro T.
Out: Quiroga S.
58'
Moravec M.
61'
Sub
Moravec M. In: Bodencer E.
Out: Moravec M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Deportivo Madryn
35%
Draws
19%
Central Norte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Madryn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Madryn have won more games recently than Central Norte.
  • Model gives Deportivo Madryn a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Madryn Central Norte
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 13
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.57 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
0:0
May 10, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs Deportivo Madryn
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Madryn 68 / 100
Central Norte 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Madryn Central Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Madryn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Madryn scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Central Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Madryn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Madryn VS Central Norte
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Madryn

(Home)
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0
Racing Cordoba
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Central Norte

(Away)
04 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Racing Cordoba
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)