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Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad Bolivar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn
Deportivo Madryn Logo

Deportivo Madryn

3 - 1
FT
Ciudad Bolivar Logo

Ciudad Bolivar

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Carrion A.
27' Event
Gonzalez A.
Assist: Quintana B.
30'
Quintana B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Madryn and Ciudad Bolivar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Madryn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Deportivo Madryn
20%
Draws
33%
Ciudad Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Madryn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Bolivar haven't matched Deportivo Madryn's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Deportivo Madryn a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Madryn Ciudad Bolivar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.57 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad Bolivar
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs Deportivo Madryn
1:0
Sep 29, 2021 Torneo Federal
Ciudad Bolivar vs Deportivo Madryn
1:0
Jul 3, 2021 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad Bolivar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Madryn Compare

Top Goalscorer Silba L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Solis N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ciudad Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Madryn 50 / 100
Ciudad Bolivar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Madryn Ciudad Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Madryn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Madryn scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Madryn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ciudad Bolivar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Madryn VS Ciudad Bolivar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Madryn

(Home)
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0
Racing Cordoba
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad Bolivar

(Away)
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)