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Stadium Background

Deportivo Maipu vs Atletico Atlanta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Garcia M.
18' Event
Previtali N.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Bonfigli M.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Maipu in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Maipu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Deportivo Maipu
35%
Draws
38%
Atletico Atlanta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Atlanta have won more games recently than Deportivo Maipu.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 26%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Atletico Atlanta
4:2
Mar 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu
0:3
Jun 1, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Atletico Atlanta
0:1
Jul 18, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonfigli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giacone J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Puch J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 38 / 100
Atletico Atlanta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Atletico Atlanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Atlanta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Maipu stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Deportivo Maipu's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atletico Atlanta let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Atletico Atlanta
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)
11 Oct
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
San Martin S.J.
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Atlanta

(Away)
11 Oct
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
San Martin T.
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3
Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Agropecuario
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)