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Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Silva T.
Assist: Saccone F.
56'
Sub
Lopez D. In: Bianchi O.
Out: Lopez D.
57' Event
Paradela F.
Assist: Varela J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Deportivo Maipu
35%
Draws
31%
Gimnasia Jujuy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gimnasia Jujuy at 1.57 per game, Deportivo Maipu at 1.18.
  • Deportivo Maipu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Gimnasia Jujuy
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.18 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:1
May 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu
2:0
Aug 20, 2023 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Top Goalscorer Paradela F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 50 / 100
Gimnasia Jujuy 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Gimnasia Jujuy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maipu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Jujuy has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Deportivo Maipu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Maipu found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Gimnasia Jujuy
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Jujuy

(Away)
03 Oct
Temperley
2 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)