Sport Picks
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
Argentina
Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu 
Match Events
7'
7'
Bonfigli M.
30'
30'
Ocampo T.
54'
54'
Vera M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Maipu and Nueva Chicago finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Maipu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Maipu come out ahead of Nueva Chicago on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Deportivo Maipu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Maipu | Nueva Chicago |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Oct 11, 2021 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Nueva Chicago
0:2
Jun 17, 2021 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Maipu Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Nueva Chicago Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Maipu 41 / 100
Nueva Chicago 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Maipu Nueva Chicago
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Maipu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Maipu scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Nueva Chicago's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Deportivo Maipu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Maipu VS Nueva Chicago
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Maipu
(Home) 27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0 Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2 Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
29 Aug
Colegiales
1 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0 Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
23 Aug
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0 Quilmes
02 Aug
Deportivo Maipu
4 : 2 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 3
Nueva Chicago
(Away) 27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1 Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1 Nueva Chicago
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
26 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
17 Aug
All Boys
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 36:25 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 49:31 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29:26 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 14 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17:26 | 33 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 16 | CA Mitre | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22:34 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 32:15 | 57 |
| 2 | Temperley | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:25 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30:27 | 38 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
