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Stadium Background

Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Paulini S.
32'
Heredia F.
46'
Sub
Bravo B. In: Rivero H.
Out: Bravo B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Deportivo Maipu
35%
Draws
26%
Patronato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Patronato haven't matched Deportivo Maipu's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Maipu taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 20%
Patronato Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Patronato
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.18 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 42 / 100
Patronato 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Patronato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Maipu scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Patronato has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Patronato
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

Patronato

(Away)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)