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Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu
Deportivo Maipu Logo

Deportivo Maipu

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
San Martin S.J. Logo

San Martin S.J.

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Maipu host San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Deportivo Maipu at 1.18 goals for, 0.82 against; San Martin S.J. at 1.03 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Deportivo Maipu have won 1 to San Martin S.J.'s 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.75 - 0.94) back Deportivo Maipu to edge this. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Deportivo Maipu
35%
Draws
20%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Maipu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Deportivo Maipu are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Deportivo Maipu
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.
0:2
Oct 29, 2023 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.
1:0
May 29, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 77 / 100
San Martin S.J. 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maipu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Deportivo Maipu remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Deportivo Maipu's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

San Martin S.J. let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS San Martin S.J.
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

San Martin S.J.

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)