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Stadium Background

Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Giacone J.
39'
Veliez A.
51'
Sub
Berrondo A. In: Almada A.
Out: Berrondo A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Maipu and Tristan Suarez finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Deportivo Maipu
44%
Draws
20%
Tristan Suarez
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Maipu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 28%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Tristan Suarez
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 38 / 100
Tristan Suarez 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Tristan Suarez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Maipu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tristan Suarez conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Tristan Suarez
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Colon Santa Fe2098327:1535
3Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2066820:2424
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Acassuso20541115:2319
16Central Norte2047912:2119
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2078519:1529
7Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2047914:2419
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419