Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Maritimo vs Santomera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Moleon R.
32' Event
Lozano M.
68' Event
Benneoui M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Deportivo Maritimo and Santomera finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Maritimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Deportivo Maritimo
15%
Draws
53%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santomera come out ahead of Deportivo Maritimo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Santomera's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 16%
Santomera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maritimo Santomera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.31 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Santomera
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Deportivo Maritimo
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Santomera
1:4
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Deportivo Maritimo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benneoui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Moleon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maritimo 28 / 100
Santomera 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maritimo Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santomera conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Maritimo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Deportivo Maritimo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maritimo VS Santomera
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maritimo

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Yeclano B
1 : 3
Deportivo Maritimo
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
Page 1 of 6

Santomera

(Away)
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)