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Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Maziero A. In: Franco J.
Out: Maziero A.
16' Event
Ojeda C.
26'
Sub
Gonzalez A. In: Fernandez D.
Out: Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Deportivo Mixco and Antigua finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Deportivo Mixco
15%
Draws
26%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Mixco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Deportivo Mixco a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 16%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Antigua
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua
2:1
Feb 9, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Deportivo Mixco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojeda C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pozuelos Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez K. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 66 / 100
Antigua 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Mixco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Mixco scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Antigua let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Deportivo Mixco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Antigua
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Antigua

(Away)
09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1
Municipal
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 13 8 1 4 19:15 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Malacateco 13 4 3 6 14:19 15
10 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)