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Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Achuapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Gonzalez F. In: Marroquin R.
Out: Gonzalez F.
31'
Corado Ruano R. E.
36'
Rocha K.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco host Deportivo Achuapa in the Liga Nacional 2025/2026. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Deportivo Mixco have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Deportivo Achuapa's 0.75 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportivo Mixco slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Deportivo Mixco. Deportivo Mixco in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Deportivo Mixco
39%
Draws
31%
Deportivo Achuapa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Deportivo Achuapa.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Deportivo Achuapa
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Achuapa
1:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0
Dec 11, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Achuapa
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Deportivo Mixco
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Achuapa
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojeda C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 41 / 100
Deportivo Achuapa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Deportivo Achuapa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Deportivo Achuapa let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Deportivo Mixco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Achuapa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Deportivo Achuapa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219