Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Mixco vs Guastatoya

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Martinez N.
46'
Sub
Segura J. In: Pozuelos Y.
Out: Segura J.
48'
Lon A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Deportivo Mixco and Guastatoya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Deportivo Mixco
6%
Draws
90%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guastatoya taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 18%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Guastatoya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Guastatoya
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0
Nov 6, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Guastatoya
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Guastatoya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 10 / 100
Guastatoya 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Guastatoya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Guastatoya conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Guastatoya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Guastatoya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219