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Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco host Xelaju in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Xelaju have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Deportivo Mixco have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Deportivo Mixco have won 3 to Xelaju's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward Deportivo Mixco. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Deportivo Mixco
30%
Draws
28%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Mixco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco have won more games recently than Xelaju.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Mixco's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 15%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Xelaju
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju
3:1
Feb 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 48 / 100
Xelaju 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Mixco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Mixco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Mixco scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Xelaju has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Xelaju
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
21 Oct
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 0
Municipal
18 Oct
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Coban Imperial
15 Oct
Marquense
1 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
11 Oct
Suchitepequez
3 : 3
Deportivo Mixco
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

Xelaju

(Away)
20 Oct
Antigua
3 : 0
Xelaju
15 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 1
Malacateco
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 15 9 2 4 28:20 29
2 Municipal 15 7 6 2 20:10 27
3 Guastatoya 15 8 3 4 21:17 27
4 Deportivo Mixco 15 7 3 5 26:22 24
5 Marquense 15 7 3 5 17:18 24
6 Deportivo San Pedro 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
7 Xelaju 15 6 3 6 27:20 21
8 Aurora F.C. 15 7 0 8 24:24 21
9 Malacateco 15 5 3 7 16:21 18
10 Coban Imperial 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
11 Comunicaciones 15 4 2 9 17:24 14
12 Suchitepequez 15 1 5 9 16:32 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)