Sport Picks

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Deportivo Mixco vs Xinabajul

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Moreno M.
17' Event
Sotomayor J.
62' Event
Moreira M.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco in this Liga Nacional 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Deportivo Mixco
28%
Draws
50%
Xinabajul
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Xinabajul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Xinabajul haven't matched Deportivo Mixco's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Xinabajul taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 24%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Xinabajul
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Xinabajul
3:1
Feb 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Deportivo Mixco
3:3
Mar 16, 2024 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Xinabajul
2:0
Nov 12, 2023 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Deportivo Mixco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sotomayor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 25 / 100
Xinabajul 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Xinabajul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Xinabajul let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Deportivo Mixco remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
10 May
Municipal
5 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
06 May
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 2
Municipal
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Coban Imperial
29 Apr
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
26 Apr
Municipal
3 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 7

Xinabajul

(Away)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal20105526:1835
2Comunicaciones2096527:2433
3Antigua2095630:2432
4Coban Imperial20102826:2532
5Malacateco2085730:2629
6Guastatoya2085721:2229
7Marquense2076718:1927
8Deportivo Mixco2067721:2325
9Xelaju2066828:2524
10Deportivo Achuapa20541118:2319
11Xinabajul20451121:3717
12Zacapa00000:00
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)