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Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron
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Match Events

16'
Cardozo L.
25'
Benitez J.
32' Event
Fagundez F.
Assist: Berterame G.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Moron in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Moron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Deportivo Moron
15%
Draws
45%
CA Estudiantes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Moron lately — more wins on the board than CA Estudiantes.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Moron taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Moron CA Estudiantes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
2:0
Sep 1, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
0:1
Dec 29, 2020 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagundez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

CA Estudiantes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Moron 46 / 100
CA Estudiantes 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Moron CA Estudiantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Moron found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Deportivo Moron went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CA Estudiantes let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Moron VS CA Estudiantes
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Moron

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
San Miguel
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CA Estudiantes

(Away)
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)