Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Cardozo L.
25'
Benitez J.
32' Event
Fagundez F.
Assist: Berterame G.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Moron in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Moron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Deportivo Moron
33%
Draws
40%
CA Estudiantes
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Moron lately — more wins on the board than CA Estudiantes.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CA Estudiantes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 25%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Moron CA Estudiantes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
2:0
Sep 1, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
0:1
Dec 29, 2020 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs CA Estudiantes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagundez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CA Estudiantes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Moron 29 / 100
CA Estudiantes 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Moron CA Estudiantes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Moron found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Deportivo Moron went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CA Estudiantes let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Moron VS CA Estudiantes
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Colon Santa Fe2098327:1535
3Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2066820:2424
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Acassuso20541115:2319
16Central Norte2047912:2119
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2078519:1529
7Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2047914:2419
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419