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Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad Bolivar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron
Deportivo Moron Logo

Deportivo Moron

Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Ciudad Bolivar Logo

Ciudad Bolivar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Moron host Ciudad Bolivar in the Primera Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Deportivo Moron have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Ciudad Bolivar's 0.93 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportivo Moron slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.13) point toward Deportivo Moron. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Deportivo Moron
15%
Draws
68%
Ciudad Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciudad Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Moron come out ahead of Ciudad Bolivar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ciudad Bolivar a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 21%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Moron Ciudad Bolivar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.4 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs Deportivo Moron
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Moron 20 / 100
Ciudad Bolivar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Moron Ciudad Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Bolivar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Moron's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Ciudad Bolivar conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Deportivo Moron has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Moron VS Ciudad Bolivar
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Moron

(Home)
25 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Deportivo Moron
18 Oct
Deportivo Moron
0 : 2
CA Mitre
11 Oct
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Deportivo Moron
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad Bolivar

(Away)
25 Oct
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 2
Colon Santa Fe
17 Oct
San Miguel
1 : 2
Ciudad Bolivar
11 Oct
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
San Telmo
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 35 19 8 8 38:31 65
2 Godoy Cruz 35 18 9 8 51:32 63
3 Deportivo Moron 35 17 7 11 51:37 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 35 15 12 8 51:31 57
5 Colon Santa Fe 35 15 12 8 43:27 57
6 Almirante Brown 35 13 12 10 29:24 51
7 Ciudad Bolivar 35 13 12 10 30:31 51
8 CA Estudiantes 35 13 10 12 35:34 49
9 Chaco For Ever 35 11 10 14 36:36 43
10 Los Andes 35 9 15 11 27:26 42
11 Racing Cordoba 35 10 10 15 31:42 40
12 Defensores de Belgrano 35 8 15 12 25:32 39
13 CA Mitre 35 8 15 12 31:42 39
14 Central Norte 35 7 17 11 23:31 38
15 All Boys 35 7 17 11 21:30 38
16 San Telmo 35 9 11 15 29:41 38
17 Acassuso 35 8 10 17 25:35 34
18 San Miguel 35 6 15 14 27:41 33
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 35 16 15 4 34:16 63
2 Atletico Atlanta 35 19 4 12 42:34 61
3 Temperley 35 16 12 7 41:29 60
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 35 16 10 9 52:44 58
5 Midland 35 15 9 11 43:29 54
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 35 14 10 11 37:34 52
7 Deportivo Maipu 35 14 9 12 43:34 51
8 Colegiales 35 14 9 12 36:32 51
9 San Martin S.J. 35 12 12 11 37:35 48
10 San Martin T. 35 11 13 11 39:37 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 35 12 10 13 29:35 46
12 Agropecuario 35 11 10 14 29:38 43
13 Quilmes 35 11 9 15 32:30 42
14 Almagro 35 11 9 15 32:42 42
15 Chacarita Juniors 35 11 6 18 27:35 39
16 Patronato 35 7 16 12 29:35 37
17 Nueva Chicago 35 9 10 16 25:34 37
18 Club Atletico Guemes 35 6 8 21 26:60 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)