Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Municipal vs Aucas

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aucas in this Serie B 2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Deportivo Municipal
6%
Draws
90%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aucas have won more games recently than Deportivo Municipal.
  • Aucas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Deportivo Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Aucas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Municipal Aucas
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2014 Serie B
Deportivo Municipal vs Aucas
1:2
Sep 6, 2014 Serie B
Aucas vs Deportivo Municipal
1:1
Jul 12, 2014 Serie B
Aucas vs Deportivo Municipal
1:1
Mar 1, 2014 Serie B
Deportivo Municipal vs Aucas
0:1
Oct 6, 2013 Serie B
Aucas vs Deportivo Municipal
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Municipal 10 / 100
Aucas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Municipal Aucas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Municipal found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Aucas has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: Aucas registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aucas
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837