Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009

Deportivo Murcia

3 - 2

Caravaca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Murcia in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Deportivo Murcia

39%

Draws

30%

Caravaca

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Caravaca at 0.75 per game, Deportivo Murcia at 0.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Deportivo Murcia Clean Sheet 20%

Caravaca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Murcia	Caravaca
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	12	12
Draws	6	13
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Deportivo Murcia vs Caravaca

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

3:2

Nov 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Caravaca vs Deportivo Murcia

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Murcia 32 / 100

Caravaca 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Murcia Caravaca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Murcia found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Caravaca conceded in 74% of 39 recent games.

Deportivo Murcia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caravaca

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Caravaca	38	27	6	5	115:26	87
2	Moratalla	38	25	8	5	82:32	83
3	Cartagena La Union	38	23	11	4	76:27	80
4	Yeclano	38	24	8	6	83:37	80
5	Pinatar	38	21	9	8	77:37	72
6	Mazarron CF	38	19	10	9	81:46	67
7	Ciudad Cieza	38	16	14	8	77:45	62
8	Futbol Club Jumilla	38	16	14	8	63:35	62
9	Beniel	38	15	11	12	39:32	56
10	Santomera	38	13	10	15	51:66	49
11	CA Pulpileno	38	13	7	18	50:67	46
12	Deportivo Murcia	38	12	9	17	59:56	45
13	Lorca Deportiva II	38	9	15	14	49:54	42
14	Bala Azul	38	12	4	22	52:86	40
15	Plus Ultra	38	10	10	18	43:64	40
16	Calasparra FC	38	9	13	16	43:60	40
17	CD Lumbreras	38	8	6	24	41:90	30
18	Pozo Estrecho	38	8	6	24	40:88	30
19	Muleno CF	38	4	11	23	33:85	23
20	Ciudad Lorca	38	4	2	32	32:153	9