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Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
2 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Miramon I.
18'
Watson N.
26'
Benegas N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Deportivo Riestra
35%
Draws
49%
Gimnasia L.P.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimnasia L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia L.P. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gimnasia L.P. are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Gimnasia L.P. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Riestra, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 17%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Riestra Gimnasia L.P.
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.68 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Copa Argentina
Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia L.P.
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:0
Mar 10, 2025 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Deportivo Riestra
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Deportivo Riestra
0:0
Mar 31, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Deportivo Riestra
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Riestra Compare

Top Goalscorer Benegas N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Seoane M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Riestra 23 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Riestra Gimnasia L.P.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia L.P. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia L.P.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Deportivo Riestra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Riestra scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Riestra VS Gimnasia L.P.
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Riestra

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
29 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
Page 1 of 7

Gimnasia L.P.

(Away)
03 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1
Tigre
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club 2
Boca Juniors 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Semi-finals
Banfield -
Boca Juniors -
Atl. Tucuman -
Platense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -