Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Pedro Bidegain

Palestino

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Riestra play Palestino in the Copa Sudamericana. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Riestra averaged 0.45 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Palestino averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Riestra won 0, Palestino won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 26, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.82 for Deportivo Riestra and 1.61 for Palestino. This points to a Palestino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Deportivo Riestra

32%

Draws

42%

Palestino

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Deportivo Riestra picked up more points recently compared to Palestino.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.82 vs 1.61 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 14%

Palestino Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Riestra	Palestino
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	4	12
Draws	12	7
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0.45	1.47
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	0.40	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.60	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Palestino vs Deportivo Riestra

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Deportivo Riestra vs Palestino

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Riestra 26 / 100

Palestino 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Riestra Palestino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palestino or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Riestra attacking → ← attacking Palestino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Riestra scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

Palestino let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Deportivo Riestra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Palestino lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 43

0.40 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macara	6	2	4	0	6:3	10
2	Tigre	6	2	3	1	8:5	9
3	America De Cali	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
4	Alianza Atl.	6	0	2	4	2:9	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Cienciano	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
3	Juventud	6	1	4	1	10:7	7
4	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	2	1	3	6:9	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo	6	3	3	0	6:1	12
2	O Higgins	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
3	Millonarios	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
4	Boston River	6	1	0	5	5:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recoleta	6	1	5	0	6:5	8
2	Santos	6	1	4	1	8:6	7
3	San Lorenzo	6	1	4	1	6:5	7
4	Dep. Cuenca	6	1	3	2	3:7	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ	6	5	1	0	15:5	16
2	Caracas	6	2	3	1	9:9	9
3	Racing Club	6	2	2	2	11:9	8
4	Independiente	6	0	0	6	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Montevideo City	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
2	Gremio	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Deportivo Riestra	6	1	2	3	4:10	5
4	Palestino	6	0	3	3	1:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	6	4	1	1	10:6	13
2	Vasco	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
3	A. Italiano	6	2	1	3	7:9	7
4	Barracas Central	6	0	3	3	2:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	River Plate	6	4	2	0	9:3	14
2	Bragantino	6	3	1	2	12:5	10
3	Carabobo	6	3	0	3	6:5	9
4	Blooming	6	0	1	5	3:17	1